Assessment of the sufficiency of regional transport and logistics infrastructure development

Introduction. The need to develop and improve the transport and logistics infrastructure of railway, automobile, river, sea, and air transport modes in the current conditions of macroeconomic transformation and limited investment resources requires the identification of evidence-based proposals for the modernisation of existing facilities of the regional terminal and logistics infrastructure, as well as the implementation of additional measures to develop the main infrastructure of the junction. The measures under development should consider the projected volumes of transport and logistics services based on analysis of the dynamics of freight flows, their structure and correspondence directions and ensure an increase in the level of economic connectivity of the Russian Federation. The purpose of this study is to develop a methodological approach to determining the need for the development of regional transport and logistics infrastructure facilities with the identification of limiting “bottlenecks” in the maintenance of relevant freight flows.

Materials and methods. The authors employed the following scientific and methodological approaches, including statistical and econometric methods for analysing the cargo base, balance methods for studying transport and economic relations in the country, methods of planning and traffic flow management, methods of modeling and optimising transport and logistics infrastructure, methods of system analysis of transport and technological systems.

Results. A methodological approach to the development of the existing regional transport and logistics infrastructure has been developed, including methodological principles for assessing the cargo base of the region according to the main cargo nomenclatures using the transport and economic balance, economic and mathematical model of transport and lo- gistics services for freight flows, which ensures the distribution of selected cargo nomenclatures based on transport and economic links across the operated facilities of the transport and logistics infrastructure of the considered region, characterised by specified values of technological parameters, as well as the identification of limiting “bottlenecks” in the main- tenance of relevant freight flows.

Discussion and conclusion. The use of the proposed methodological principles and developed economic and mathematical model would enable to obtain complete and objective information on the sufficiency of the development of the regional transport and logistics infrastructure, determine the limiting (scarce) or excess (reserve) processing capacities of cargo fronts according to the selected nomenclature cargo groups. This gives an opportunity to proceed to the deve- lopment of a gradual range of measures to remodel the existing transport and logistics complex of the region and substan- tiate technological capacities.

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